{"id":155,"date":"2012-01-21T19:21:18","date_gmt":"2012-01-21T19:21:18","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/linetrackers.com\/?p=155"},"modified":"2012-01-21T19:21:18","modified_gmt":"2012-01-21T19:21:18","slug":"patriots-vs-ravens-prediction-preview","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/linetrackers.com\/?p=155","title":{"rendered":"Patriots vs. Ravens Prediction Preview"},"content":{"rendered":"<h1>Sizing up the AFC Championship Game: Patriots vs Ravens<\/h1>\n<p>\nTom Brady #12 of the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.phatzradio.com\/tag\/new-england-patriots\/\" class=\"st_tag internal_tag\" rel=\"nofollow\" title=\"Posts tagged with New England Patriots\">New England Patriots<\/a> looks to pass in the first quarter against the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.phatzradio.com\/tag\/denver-broncos\/\" class=\"st_tag internal_tag\" rel=\"nofollow\" title=\"Posts tagged with Denver Broncos\">Denver Broncos<\/a> during their AFC <a href=\"http:\/\/www.phatzradio.com\/tag\/divisional-playoff-game\/\" class=\"st_tag internal_tag\" rel=\"nofollow\" title=\"Posts tagged with divisional playoff game\">Divisional Playoff Game<\/a> at <a href=\"http:\/\/www.phatzradio.com\/tag\/gillette-stadium\/\" class=\"st_tag internal_tag\" rel=\"nofollow\" title=\"Posts tagged with Gillette Stadium\">Gillette Stadium<\/a> on January 14, 2012 in Foxboro, Massachusetts.<br \/>\n(January 13, 2012 \u2013 Photo by Elsa\/Getty Images North America) <\/p>\n<p><strong>(PhatzRadio \/ <a href=\"http:\/\/www.phatzradio.com\/tag\/usa-today\/\" class=\"st_tag internal_tag\" rel=\"nofollow\" title=\"Posts tagged with usa today\">USA Today<\/a>)<\/strong>  \u2014  Analyzing the offenses, defenses and special teams that will decide the AFC title game between the New England Patriots and the Baltimore Ravens.<\/p>\n<p>When the Patriots have the ball \u2026<\/p>\n<p>The New England Patriots are well-equipped to use empty sets early and often to counteract the Baltimore Ravens\u2019 supercharged pass rush.<\/p>\n<p>Quarterback Tom Brady has skilled tight ends who can align at wide receiver, flex into the slot or motion into the backfield to slow the 3-4 scheme. Brady had six touchdown passes last weekend and wasn\u2019t sacked.<\/p>\n<p>The Ravens brought pressure through the inside gaps in beating the Patriots in the 2009 playoffs and have been successful in tripping up Brady\u2019s timing with his receivers.<\/p>\n<p>Brady\u2019s 55.9 completion percentage against the Ravens in five career games is his lowest against any <a href=\"http:\/\/www.phatzradio.com\/tag\/nfl-team\/\" class=\"st_tag internal_tag\" rel=\"nofollow\" title=\"Posts tagged with nfl team\">NFL team<\/a>. He can take advantage of strong safety Bernard Pollard\u2019s aggressiveness vs. tight end Rob Gronkowski and slide wideout <a href=\"http:\/\/www.phatzradio.com\/tag\/wes-welker\/\" class=\"st_tag internal_tag\" rel=\"nofollow\" title=\"Posts tagged with Wes Welker\">Wes Welker<\/a>, who had 122 catches in the regular season, around the formation to find the best matchup.<\/p>\n<p>Free safety <a href=\"http:\/\/www.phatzradio.com\/tag\/ed-reed\/\" class=\"st_tag internal_tag\" rel=\"nofollow\" title=\"Posts tagged with ed reed\">Ed Reed<\/a>, typically an equalizer in coverage because of his range, closing speed and sure hands, might be limited by a sore ankle. Brady has had at least one 40-yard completion in 10 of the last 13 games, including last weekend, and will pepper throws to the sideline to gauge Reed\u2019s health.<\/p>\n<p>If Reed is sound, the Ravens have a chance to rattle Brady as they did two years ago, when he was intercepted three times, sacked three times and had a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.phatzradio.com\/tag\/passer-rating\/\" class=\"st_tag internal_tag\" rel=\"nofollow\" title=\"Posts tagged with passer rating\">passer rating<\/a> of 49.1 and a longest completion of 24 yards. However, they failed to record a sack and did not produce much pressure with the pass rush in last weekend\u2019s divisional-round victory against the Houston Texans, who had a rookie quarterback as their starter.<\/p>\n<p>The Patriots have a sum-of-parts running game. In their divisional-round win against the Denver Broncos, tight end Aaron Hernandez had a team-high 61 yards on five carries, including a 43-yard run.<\/p>\n<p>Baltimore gave up 92.6 rushing yards a game in 2011, holding eight of its opponents to fewer than 95 rushing yards.<\/p>\n<p>When the Ravens have the ball \u2026<\/p>\n<p>When the Baltimore Ravens beat the New England Patriots 33-14 in the 2009 postseason, it was a sizzling Ray Rice performance that carried the day.<\/p>\n<p>Rice had 22 carries for 159 yards and two touchdowns, including an early, tone-setting 83-yard score, and the Ravens attempted 10 passes. Baltimore must break its puzzling habit of going away from Rice in road games this season; he is averaging 14.5 carries, and he has had 10 or fewer four times.<\/p>\n<p>That can\u2019t happen on this stage. Rice accounted for 38% of the team\u2019s offensive output in 2011, and he\u2019s easily the Ravens\u2019 premier playmaker.<\/p>\n<p>The Patriots aren\u2019t a threat to sack quarterback Joe Flacco five times as the Houston Texans did last weekend. Their front seven is not as active or athletic, and the holes throughout their secondary have been exposed by far lesser quarterbacks than Flacco in recent weeks.<\/p>\n<p>By avoiding mistakes, Flacco was 7-0 during the regular season against teams that would reach the playoffs, throwing two interceptions in those games. He was nervy behind a flustered offensive line last weekend and has thrown for six touchdowns with seven interceptions in eight career playoff games. Flacco has the height and arm strength to get the ball out even in a muddled pocket.<\/p>\n<p>Wide receiver Anquan Boldin, the team\u2019s best route runner, works the middle of the field fearlessly. The Patriots are likely to let Flacco have the 7- to 10-yard intermediate throws to instead challenge speed threats Torrey Smith and Lee Evans.<\/p>\n<p>New England allowed 300-yard passing games 10 times and was 31st in passing defense in the regular season. But the numbers are slightly overstated, as the Patriots patiently wait for miscues and clamp down in the red zone.<\/p>\n<p>They\u2019ll attack Flacco\u2019s looseness with the ball \u2014 he had 11 fumbles during the season and one last weekend \u2014 and attempt to change the game with takeaways.<\/p>\n<p>Special teams<\/p>\n<p>The New England Patriots punted five or more times in two of their 17 games. By contrast, the Baltimore Ravens punted nine times last week, the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.phatzradio.com\/tag\/ninth-time\/\" class=\"st_tag internal_tag\" rel=\"nofollow\" title=\"Posts tagged with ninth time\">ninth time<\/a> this season they had five or more. New England\u2019s Zoltan Mesko had a 46.5-yard average in the regular season to match Sam Koch of the Ravens.<\/p>\n<p>Baltimore\u2019s return game \u2014Tom Zbikowski on kickoffs, Lardarius Webb on punts \u2014 isn\u2019t a major threat since losing David Reed (29.7 yards per kickoff return) to a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.phatzradio.com\/tag\/knee-injury\/\" class=\"st_tag internal_tag\" rel=\"nofollow\" title=\"Posts tagged with knee injury\">knee injury<\/a> Dec. 24. The Patriots aren\u2019t a major threat to break a long return either. Julian Edelman had a 72-yard runback for a score but otherwise averaged 8.3 yards on 27 punt returns.<\/p>\n<p>Baltimore was 31st in kickoff return average at 29.2 yards, but the Ravens came up with a fumble recovery on a punt return last weekend.<\/p>\n<p>Ravens kicker Billy Cundiff made 76% of his field goal attempts and was hampered late in the season by a calf injury. Stephen Gostkowski was 10-for-13 on field goal attempts of 40-plus yards and 28-for-33 overall for New England.<\/p>\n<p>Compiled by Jeff Reynolds of The Sports Xchange<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.phatzradio.com\/sizing-up-the-afc-championship-game-patriots-vs-ravens\/\" rel=\"nofollow\">Sizing up the AFC Championship Game: Patriots vs Ravens<\/a> is a post from: <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.phatzradio.com\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-js-external-link-info\/redirect.php?blog=PhatzRadio&#038;url=http:\/\/www.phatzradio.com\" rel=\"nofollow\">PhatzRadio.com<\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"feedflare\">\n<a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/phatzradio-sportscom?a=yJTsfiBcmbo:4Cto2_S5zDc:yIl2AUoC8zA\" rel=\"nofollow\"><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/phatzradio-sportscom?a=yJTsfiBcmbo:4Cto2_S5zDc:qj6IDK7rITs\" rel=\"nofollow\"><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/phatzradio-sportscom?a=yJTsfiBcmbo:4Cto2_S5zDc:V_sGLiPBpWU\" rel=\"nofollow\"><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/phatzradio-sportscom?a=yJTsfiBcmbo:4Cto2_S5zDc:F7zBnMyn0Lo\" rel=\"nofollow\"><\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~ff\/phatzradio-sportscom?a=yJTsfiBcmbo:4Cto2_S5zDc:-BTjWOF_DHI\" rel=\"nofollow\"><\/a>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"fxing_o1_opj_p0a_0_\" style=\"display:none;\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/cdn.feedcrossing.com\/1x.gif?o=fxing_o1_opj_p0a_0_\" rel=\"nofollow\"><\/div>\n<p class=\"fxing_attribution\">Be sure to check out other great articles at <a href=\"http:\/\/www.phatzradio.com\" rel=\"nofollow\">PhatzRadio &#8211; A New Voice In Sports Talk Radio With Rock, Jazz, Soul, R<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Sizing up the AFC Championship Game: Patriots vs Ravens Tom Brady #12 of the New England Patriots looks to pass in the first quarter against the Denver Broncos during their AFC Divisional Playoff Game at Gillette Stadium on January 14, 2012 in Foxboro, Massachusetts. (January 13, 2012 \u2013 Photo by Elsa\/Getty Images North America) (PhatzRadio &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/linetrackers.com\/?p=155\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Patriots vs. Ravens Prediction Preview<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[27],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-155","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-football-betting"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/linetrackers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/155"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/linetrackers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/linetrackers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/linetrackers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/linetrackers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=155"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/linetrackers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/155\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":156,"href":"https:\/\/linetrackers.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/155\/revisions\/156"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/linetrackers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=155"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/linetrackers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=155"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/linetrackers.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=155"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}